Summary
Two Warren Buffett style valuation methods are applied to AT&T.
Method #1 indicates a value of around $117 per share.
Method #2 indicates a value range of $65 to $111 per share.
Given these calculations, AT&T is on sale for 50-70% off.
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It's been a while since I've written an article about AT&T (T). Today, I'm going to look at two ways Warren Buffett might value the company. Then, I'm going to give you tell what this means for investors.
Back in 1998, the American Association of Individual Investors ran an article about investing like Warren Buffett. It was loaded with the usual stuff. For example, when you invest in a stock, you're investing in a business. Also, that Buffett likes consumer monopolies with a strong upward trend in earnings, conservative financing, high return on shareholders' equity, and the like.
Obviously, AT&T isn't a wonderful fit. I doubt we'll hear that Buffett has suddenly jumped on the "T" train.
- EPS has mostly been flat or barely growing.
- ROE has generally been positive but spotty.
- Debt is kind of insane now at $180B (but cash flows are strong).
There's not much need to look at the exact details here. I'm not trying to say that Buffett would buy AT&T or that there's a fit. Instead, I'm using crayons to create a simple cave painting, so we can move into valuation. Let's carry on.
