AT&T: Base Case Of $40

9/28/18

Summary

AT&T continues to recover from the initial selloff following the close of the Time Warner merger.

WarnerMedia has made several strides in the last few months to suggest the division isn't a noose on the wireless business.

The stock should have a base target of $40 that equates to about 10x EPS targets.

After a period of incredible weakness surrounding the closure of the Time Warner merger, AT&T (T) is finally acting better. The stock has gotten a bid around the $30 lows as the DirecTV path from my previous research continues to play out confirming a $40 base case.

Time Warner Seen As Mistake

Anybody looking at how Verizon Communications (VZ) has traded over the last year can easily see how the market prefers a focused company. Verizon has pulled back from media ambitions as the Oath division CEO recently left the company while AT&T bought Time Warner for HBO and other media assets.

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